A recent study by the Boston Consulting Group
rated Brazil as a more expensive manufacturing venue than Europe due to low
productivity. A report in the FT today,
however, indicates that what Brazil lacks in efficiency it may be making up in
volume. Government revenues have risen
from 33% of GDP in 1999 to 39% today, compared with an OECD average of 36%,
while the country ranks 124 out of 148 in government efficiency, according to
the World Economic Forum. Under Lula and
Rousseff, the number of ministers has about doubled to 39 and there are other
cabinet-level officials, each with his retinue of advisors, consultants,
minions, sycophants and hangers-on. The
FT relates the story of the rookie bureaucrat in Brasilia who was warned by her
supervisor that she should stop spending eight hours a day at the office and
put in four like everybody else. (FT, p2)
Friday, May 9, 2014
Sweden massages its data and is shocked by high household debt
Oops! Sweden's central bank has adjusted its
figures. They had been concerned that
the ratio of household debt to disposable income was 174%, one of the highest
levels in Europe. (In the US it’s more
like 120%.) Delving deeper, they noticed
that when one excludes the households with no debt at all, the ratio is 313% of
disposable income. They are
shocked. (Reuters 5/7)
It seems that the countries
that avoided the financial crisis are destined to have one. Debt and housing prices are soaring in
Australia, Canada, Sweden, Holland, and other countries. Global easy money is undermining the
heretofore healthy economies.
Thursday, May 8, 2014
Below-average central bankers: The Yellen Years
Janet Yellen testified today
before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. Sen. Bernie Sanders of the Vermont
Progressive Party asked her if the US were an “oligarchy or a capitalist
democracy.” Yellen said she doesn't know how to describe our system but
she, like Bernie, is troubled by the fact that everybody doesn't have the same amount of money. (CNBC)
If she doesn't know what our
economic system is, wouldn’t she find it difficult to lead monetary policy?
Keep and eye on Tony Blair: His kind are money launderers, say the Feds
JP Morgan is closing the
accounts of 3,500 "politically-exposed persons" because new US
regulations aimed at squelching money laundering are imposing too many costs
and liabilities. Included among those
whose accounts are being terminated are Jose Antonio Campos, former Colombian
finance minister and candidate for president of the World Bank, and Tony Blair,
a British politico on JP Morgan’s payroll. (FT, p13)
It appears that the federal
bureaucracy thinks all foreigners are bad.
The Zen of the Oligarch: think money
The new Ukrainian governor of
Odessa, an oligarch, has adopted a creative way to stifle dissent. He is planning to offer bounties of $1,000 to
$100,000 for the capture of political protesters, following the example of a
fellow oligarch governor further east. Oligarchs are limited in their
communications ability: they can only speak the language of money. The local
police, too, apparently. (FT, p2)
Canadian housing prices approach the ozone layer
A survey of 56 countries by
Frank Knight shows that world house prices rose more than 8 percent last year.
Prices in eleven countries rose by double digits. (FT 5/6. P2) Shortly after I read this, someone sent me a
chart comparing US and Canadian housing prices.
After a slight tremor when the US cracked, Canadian house prices soon
resumed their upward trend. The high
price of housing in Canada has long puzzled me.
It is, after all, the second largest country in the world by area and
sparsely populated.
For
example, Yonge Street in Toronto, which extends north from Lake Erie toward the
pole, was listed in the Guinness Book of World Records as the longest street in
the world until it was displaced by the Pan American Highway, which runs from
Alaska to Chile, in 1999. Yonge Street
is 1,178 miles in length. It was built
in the 1790’s and named after Sir George Yonge, the British Secretary of War at
the time and, was designed so that the capital could be evacuated northward in
the event of a US invasion.
(Given the
length of the road, the British were clearly contemplating a worst case
scenario. -- The route’s straightness belies the legend that it was built by
prisoners arrested for inebriation.) One
would think it possible to have a prestigious Yonge Street address fairly
cheaply somewhere. But prices are twice
the US level.
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