Friday, July 25, 2014
It's a drag
Greece's public sector wage bill has fallen from €24 billion in 2009 to €16 billion in 2013, according to today's FT. Now that's what I call austerity!
Good news from the Duchy of Grand Fenwich
The IMF calculates that Luxembourg receives one tenth of the world's foreign direct investment, through "letter box corporations." The fees on this flow make it the richest country in Europe. Now the former pm is now to become the president of the European Commission. One comment of a tax specialist: "This isn't a poacher turned gamekeeper, it looks more like the poacher in charge of the gamekeepers."
Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Is China about to hit a wall?
China's debt/gdp has risen from 147% at the end of 2008 to 251% at the end of June. The US and the UK are 280% and Japan is 415%. What would be China's growth rate were the ratio to be stable rather than rising?
The very best hypocrites always sound sincere
EU has failed to
add to Russian sanctions following the airplane disaster, despite a push by the UK, which was criticized by
Jean-Christophe Cambadelis, head of the French Socialist Party, who said, "This
is a false debate waged by hypocrites.
When you see how many [Russian] oligarchs have sought refuge in London,
David Cameron should start by cleaning up his
own back yard." (In the FT today)
Henry Kaufman says the business cycle is dead
Henry Kaufman (remember him? Dr Doom of the 1970s?) wrote an oped in the FT yesterday, "Markets and the Fed have to practise a new dance," suggests that we might not see economic cycles in the future, but "selective intervention" by the Fed. I suppose he means, although does not explicitly say, that business cycles will be replaced by carefully modulated boom and bust cycles. Puzzling it is, both what he means and why he wrote this essay.
I wonder if we should welcome a replacement of normal market forces with Fed decision-making.
I wonder if we should welcome a replacement of normal market forces with Fed decision-making.
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Assets of big banks get really big. Deutsche, Barclays, HSBC, BNP exceed $2.5 tn each.
I could hardly believe this graphic in the FT yesterday. Despite increased capital requirements, slow lending growth, and write-offs, the assets of the big banks have been growing by leaps and bounds: Barclays was up 500% in the 10 years ending 2012, for example, to $2.5 trillion.
Friday, July 18, 2014
Is this why they're invading the USA?
Latin America has the highest crime rates in the world. Honduras has the highest murder rate in the world. It has 90.4 murder/100,000/year. (So everyone in Honduras has a one in ten chance of being murdered in any ten year period?) London, which had 112 murders in the past year, would have had 7,500 with Honduras' rate. Economist 7/12/2014
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