EUROPE: January services purchasing managers’ indexes
–EUROZONE was 52.7 against 52.2 forecast and from 51.6 in December.
–FRANCE was 49.4 agaisnt 49.5 forecast and from 50.6 in December.
–GERMANY was 54.0 against 52.7 forecast and from 52.1 in December.
–ITALY was 51.2 against 50.0 forecast and from 49.4 in December.
–SPAIN was 56.7 from 54.3 in December.
–U.K. was 57.2 against 56.5 forecast and from 55.8 in December.
Wednesday, February 4, 2015
Friday, January 30, 2015
Sovereigns are in a peck of trouble
Euromoney's sovereign risk index is rising. This is surprising because easy money usually reduces sovereign risk. Special factors also come into play, like commodity prices and politics (e.g. Ukraine and Venezuela.)
The strong dollar is the unmentioned culprit in this analysis as many of these countries have US$ debt coming due.
By the way, the Russian Central Bank has just cut interest rates, bringing to 14 the number of CB who have eased policy in January. Would it be better to describe this as an avalanche or a tidal wave?
The strong dollar is the unmentioned culprit in this analysis as many of these countries have US$ debt coming due.
By the way, the Russian Central Bank has just cut interest rates, bringing to 14 the number of CB who have eased policy in January. Would it be better to describe this as an avalanche or a tidal wave?
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Ronald McDonald says US$ overvalued against all major currencies
In July 2014, the US$ was still fairly valued against the GBP, the euro, the Aus$, and the Can$. Now, however the US$ is overvalued in relation to every signficant economy in the world save Brazil.
It is no surprise CAT reported bad earnings today. The currency effect produced revenue declines everywhere in the world outside of North America. We should expect the same in the future from other global companies.
Monday, January 26, 2015
US economy "totally different" from the others
Chinese official explains why they won't follow the US lead in monetary policy. (The US had apparently been suffering from "insufficient money supply.")
Friday, January 23, 2015
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)