Friday, November 4, 2016

Twinkie defense


From today's WSJ: Back from bankruptcy and liquidation, Hostess Brands epitomizes the US manufacturing renaissance:




Sales of Hostess snack cakes are expected to reach 2 billion units this year.

Innovative new products are the key:



To enhance the value proposition, creative chemical rejiggering has extended shelf life from 26 to 65 days.

"Ho Ho.

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Kudos to Goldman Sachs for knowing how to make money on the election

A friend forwarded this chart. Since the market is already pricing in a Clinton victory, shorting NJA (non-Japan Asia, in GS lingo, not "National Jousting Association" as the Acronym Finder says) is recommended. Shorting the Mexican peso is also indicated but with a lower level of potential gain. This trade would apply even if Trump lost the election. This reminds us that, in the world of the trading of financial instruments, there is no good or bad, no right or wrong, only opportunity. Investors should never forget this.

Monday, October 17, 2016

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

"The-Policy-That-Must-Not-Be-Named" is finally unmasked.

It's "Monetization."  Japan has finally abandoned the pretense that central bank's printing of money to fund the government is a temporary measure designed to control the level of interest rates.  Will the markets find this candor "refreshing?"

from A6 in today's Wall Street Journal:

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Shakespeare's take on the Fed's failure to raise rates



Thus conscience does make cowards of us all,

And thus the native hue of resolution

Is sicklied o'er with the pale cast of thought,

And enterprise of great pith and moment

With this regard their currents turn awry

And lose the name of action.




(Hamlet, Act III, Scene 1)