Friday, April 29, 2016

1st Q US GDP: Right for the wrong reasons

1st quarter US GDP was reported at +0.5% yesterday, which is weak but still positive. This graphic from the WSJ shows that consumer spending on services, residential investment, and state and local government have accounted for more than all the increase.



Here is are some factoids from the "Contributions to Percent Change" table of the BEA press release:



Without the housing bubble (thanks, Fed), Obamacare, and government spending, 1st Q GDP would have been down .82% This does not seem like a productive economy to me, or am I missing something?

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Encouraging decline in gun-related deaths in the USA

among suiciders, according to yesterday's Wall Street Journal.

Although the suicide rate among both men and women in the USA is rising rapidly, it is good news that fewer suicides are using guns. (for men from 61.7% in 1999 down to 55.4% in 2014) The big increase in method has been in "suffocation," which I take to mean hanging. (Assuming that the number of serial killer assisted suicides using pillows is not significant)

Should restrictions be placed on the sale of ropes?

The article states: "The report showed a surge in suicides among middle-age men and women, a factor noted in rising death rates among middle-aged people and a decline in white Americans life expectancy in 2014." The writer searches for an explanation but cannot come up with one. (Is Global Warming the cause?)

(Click on the graph to see the full article in the Wall Street Journal.)

Friday, April 15, 2016

Driving Lessons from Greece: The consequences of central bank policy

Central bank policy has evolved from unorthodox to downright strange as politicians have failed to take control of the post-crisis economy. Sooner rather later they will confront a stark choice signposted Greece or Ireland.



Full article: http://www.euromoney.com/Article/3543283/Inside-investment-Driving-lessons-from-Greece.html?printrequest=true&copyrightInfo=true

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Stairway to heaven: time for another step up?

There's a lady who's sure
All that glitters is gold
And she's buying a stairway to heaven

-- Led Zeppelin

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Middle aged white women are killing themselves.

Middle aged white women are killing themselves.

And they are not alone.

There was a fascinating article, “A great divide in American death,” about the decline in life expectancy of rural white women in today’s Washington Post. It can be found at this site:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/national/2016/04/10/a-new-divide-in-american-death/

Here is one of many fascinating graphs (click on graph to see it more clearly):





There is more and more drinking, smoking, drug-taking and depression in rural America, and it’s not working out very well.