An article in the FT by Patrick Jenkins yesterday identified 5
dangerous bubbles:
1.
Leveraged loans. Securities representing
$260 bn in covenant light loans were issued in 2013, up 69% from previous peak
in 2007.
2.
ETFs. Liquid securities
composed of increasingly illiquid assets that must be liquidated as EFT's are
redeemed have proliferated.
3.
Eurozone sovereign debt. Peripheral countries like
Portugal are paying the same rate as the US treasury. (Does this reflect overconfidence in Portugal
or lack of confidence in the US?)
4.
European bank paper. A DB-issued cramdown hybrid bond was 10x
oversubscribed, and Spanish non-performing loans quoted at prices that would
yield 14% were they paying, which they are not.
5.
UK property in the
southeast. London house prices have gone from 4x the
average earnings of first time buyers to 8x.
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